Early in 2020, I published a 2017 paper in the Brazilian theological journal Kerygma arguing that the election of Donald Trump to the US presidency was a divine judgment that exposed the hypocrisy of the right, center, and left of American politics. I found that this judgment was not a national catastrophe but rather one that had sifted Americans by how we responded to the immorality that had resulted in our preferred factions acting as if God does not intervene in human history.
Then, four years ago to the day of this writing, I published an article in the now sadly defunct Compass Magazine assessing how well my providential interpretation had held up over the intervening years. I found that only the center seemed chastened, while the right and left had plunged even further into their hypocritical immorality.
In the sketch that follows, I will bring my thesis up to date without going into detail and without rehearsing arguments I made in my previous publications. So I suggest that you familiarize yourself with them if you've not done so already.
The Left
Musa Al-Gharbi's We Have Never Been Woke came out this year, and he nails down my thesis about the hypocrisy of the left better than I ever could. I recommend this review in Front Porch Republic. It is also possible that we have passed so-called "peak woke," but all this means is that the left's agenda has become institutionalized to the extent that it is no longer noteworthy or cutting-edge.
The Center
The hypocrisy of the center was exposed in the first presidential debate when it became obvious that the faction of competence was attempting to foist a manifestly incompetent incumbent on the nation. At least the centrists in the press did not let the centrists in the Democratic White House get away with Jill Biden's turn as Edith Wilson. Then, the champions of democracy did not allow an open primary to select Joe Biden's replacement, selected by Mr. Biden himself, not for her competence, much less her character, but for her identity. The Hillary Clinton-esque ideological makeover Democratic party operatives have given Kamala Harris, leaves no doubt that the center is not so chastened after all.
The Right
The surprising events of January 6 came close to turning this sifting judgment into a national catastrophe, but America retained its form of government under constitutional procedure despite Donald Trump breaking with the US tradition of peaceful transfer of presidential power begun by George Washington. With prominent Republican figures endorsing his opponent and his former chief of staff calling him, in broad terms, "a fascist," the putative defenders of freedom continue to stand condemned of hypocrisy by their own side's admission.
Providence
Despite all his legal woes, including a felony conviction, and several attempts on his life, including a grazed ear, Mr. Trump is neck and neck in the polls with Mrs. Harris. Even unbelievers are astonished at how many close calls he has avoided. This surprise is consistent with the divine judgment thesis because God does not allow his judgments to be preempted by human efforts.
The Stakes
As I see it, regardless of who is elected, we will have a president who governs as if God doesn't intervene in human history and, therefore, our immoral hypocrisy is justified because it's all up to us. Mrs. Harris will continue to offer symbolic victories to minority groups while ensuring that the elites are secure in their positions of power regardless of the indignities that this requires everyone else to suffer, and she will be open to whatever pragmatic compromises are necessary to get her a second term. Under a Harris presidency, the sifting will likely continue. On the other hand, a second Trump term is unlikely to be like his first because the plans are in place to remove those who restrained his unconstitutional impulses. If he is elected, we may experience the national catastrophe of having our democratic republic replaced by the majoritarian White, Christian nationalism that many warned about eight years ago.
Conclusion
The purpose of a divine sifting judgment is not to cause us to pursue our preferred outcomes in the world but to test our characters to see whether our interpretation of our situation aligns with loyalty to God or has been compromised by other loyalties. How you choose to vote (or abstain from voting) will show whether your hope is in a political faction that represents your identity attaining worldly power for you and yours or whether your hope is the God who intervenes in human history and will eventually return to destroy America for its sins and set up his eternal kingdom.